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in this race, mitt romney would have to get double john mccain's margin of 18 points among the white working class in this election. that's youth turnout doesn't change among minority's despite the shifts in eligible voters. if this does get realize, let's say minority vote share goes up by couple of points, 26% as was in 2008 to 28% in 2012, and again if the white college graduate and minority support stays about the same, it means mitt romney would have to get north of 40-point margin among white working-class voters to actually win the election, to win the popular vote. so let's take look at where we are now based on a reasonable came out. it's the gold standard for polls. a pew research center. no one else -- no offense to anyone else in the room who has april. they really do it right. it's pretty reliable stuff. they give you a lot of interesting demographic breaks tradition as among likely voters that obama is leading now by eight points. if you look at the average of the national polls as a bit high relative to the average. the average has been running about four-point. if you look at
that he did not think that mitt romney would use the line that we've all been discussing so much, and that kathleen mentioned in the survey, the claim that obama has gutted welfare reform and has, i'm sure you've seen that ad, that all three of us, all four of us i think have debunked. so i want to play a little short video as an example of, about this and talk a little bit about why i do think we will hear. here we go. >> so this is a video from -- >> i will be the first to publicly say i was wrong, ms. coppola. because my objective is for people to know the facts and the truth on all of the stuff. >> you know what you should do? let me tell you what you should do. you should go on some kind of a truth tour. [laughter] spend as a matter fact i already have one plan. >> what do? that sounds crazy? what's it called? >> it's called the truth tour las.[laughter] >> is called a truth tour. was a going to to go? >> thirty states and three events a day. >> all right, this is from politifact. [cheers and applause] >> politifact checked a romney campaign and claim that obama ended welfar
's margin in 2008. seventy-two among hispanics and it is not that far off. also 22 for romney. what it means is that the idea that obama could get 80% of the minority again it's actually quite plausible based on this and other data. that looks like what it's going to get to. if he doesn't get 80, he will get 7 meters 79. as you can see by the right-hand figures, obama is actually doing better -- which is actually somewhat better than he did in 2000 and one he lost them by 18 points. remember what we said about the outlandishly large margin that mitt romney needs to be with white working-class voters. he is not anywhere close. that is the bottom line. this is true across many polls. you might see a margin of 20 points for mitt romney or a margin of 22 points. nowhere do you see the outside margin that he really needs to win the election. given how he appears to be holding support and then some of college graduate voters so that is where we are now in the national picture. as we know, these elections that we choose to have in the united states are not decided by the popular vote. instead, we h
today. >> the first debate the turn presidential candidates mitt romney and president barack obama is next wednesday, october october 3rd. the university of denver. watch and engage with c-span, including a live debate preview starting at 7:00 p.m. eastern fall by the domestic policy debate at 9:00 p.m. post debate reactions and comments. calls, e-mails, and tweets. follow our live coverage on c-span, c-span radio and on line at c-span.org. >> presidential debates next wednesday live on c-span, c-span radio, and on line at c-span.org. watch ending dates. pass >> on washington journal tomorrow morning and look at the issue of foreign policy in this year's campaign. our guest is nicholas burt, former undersecretary of state for political affairs. political science professor at norfolk state university will focus on the role of virginia in the election and a history of the african-american vote in virginia. we will also be joined by editor in chief of the washington monthly to discuss recent articles in the magazine examining the consumer financial protection bureau. live on c-span ev
it very difficult for romney to put together a coalition that can take the state. colorado has been fairly close so again obama mabey looks like a fairy or four-point lead on average read a lot of demographic change. you can see the minority eligible voters have gone up by three percentage points and working-class voters in 2008 have gone down by three percentage points. again it doesn't appear that romney is able to turn the demographics tie in his favor. he's not doing much better among the white working-class voters according to the polls i've seen. he's made some progress on the outside margin that obama got 14 points in 2008 among the college graduate voters but he's not making nearly enough voters to take the state and if you break it down geographically the denver metro area is about half the vote in the state but that looks very similar in the polling data as it did in 2008. finally, the poster child for demographic change in the united states and how it's been shifted pretty rapidly over time as the great state of nevada. obama is running ahead of though not nearly as far as he di
as a basis for peace in our world. >> next wednesday, october 3rd, mitt romney and president obama meet in their first presidential debate moderated by jim lehrer of the "newshour" from the university of denver. watch and engage with c-span including our live debate preview at 7 p.m. eastern, the debate at 9, and of after the debate your reaction, calls, e-mails and tweets. follow us on c-span, c-span radio and online at c-span.org. >> next, three former obama administration pentagon officials defend the president's foreign policy and national security record while criticizing mitt romney. moderated by former cnn, cnn contributor bill schneider, the discussion focuses largely on iran's nuclear program and america's presence in afghanistan. this event, which took place yesterday, runs about an hour, and we'll show you as of this as we can until the pentagon briefing scheduled at 2 p.m. eastern. >> struggling in, and you're encouraged to help yourself to coffee, food, whatever you need. my name's mike bennett, on behalf of my colleagues, jim kessler -- who's here somewhere -- sean gibbons
percent of them, attacking mitt romney. >> unusually early flurry of negative ads. when debunking deceptive ads -- >> the rest of the video is about the visual grammar to do at watching. what we have seen across time is a broadcast network journalism increasingly adopting this framework for presenting news. they are doing it in various forms, putting an ad makes up, creating a fish-wide screens that are to stored images. there has been through no intervention that any one contract, a journalistic awareness that this is a problem, and we are seeing an increase in airport news putting the solution in place. we need to worry about full screen airing of at content. these kinds of stories tend to air, as they are produced packages, and broadcasts nightly news. we are continuing to see, however, answered for practical purposes completely full screen, although there is a network to stammer, so you can actually see that there is a network putting this up. as a way to tell you that the ads have appeared somewhere in the market. and what that does is gives, first, a net advantage to whateve
. wall street braces for an obama win. mitt romney was wall street's big candidate. a former private equity exec who who -- many masters of the universe can see they may not get their man. the broader landscape of corporate america even strong supporters of romney acknowledge that swing state polling numbers in the direction of economic data and markets adjust its time to brace for a second obama term. i want to ask you also about using the word brace in this story. jaczko yeah, i mean i think you know the president has had an antagonistic relationship with business. i think that's pretty clear and so he did over the last several months i think lose the independent vote and certainly the business vote and so the number show he is actually winning i could understand that now they are disappointed it does they were counting on the competition, but i don't think you can really tell right now. i mean it's hard to know how accurate these polls are. in some cases i think the media is pulling democrat and in other cases i think people, they don't necessarily tell you what they're thinking o
that president romney would have either but i guess we will see. so you know, getting this stuff may be a function of personality and barack obama is perfect for this but actually putting it out was a little trickier. i want to show you something that hasn't been seen that much but it's backstage footage from a few days after the announcement starts like in 2007 a february. there is a date on the front of it so embarrassingly enough we can look to see what it was. was that the third or something? i don't know but this is remarkably the same guy with the hair that you see any sort of wonder with what was changed to have people want to release the stuff so let's just take a look. >> there are so many people. this is reggie. reggie played basketball and football for duke. actually tried out for the dallas cowboys. >> and the packers. >> and the packers. he concluded that he was better off in a political career because, although this is a contact sport, you don't break bones in politics. so reggie you can say something. >> this has been a great experience in politics, unlike sports, you
found president obama leading mitt romney 51-45%. this is about half an hour. [cheers and applause] ♪ ♪ ♪ [cheers and applause] >> hello, wisconsin! [cheers and applause] oh! hi! you guys sound like you're fired up already! [cheers and applause] it is good to be back in milwaukee! [cheers and applause] first of all, it's good to be back because this is the closest i've been the home in a couple of months -- [cheers and applause] i was thinking about hopping on the freeway and just driving on down. you know, hour and a half, maybe a little shorter with a motorcade, you know? [laughter] i am also glad to be in milwaukee because before i came out here, i was able to have an outstanding sampling of bratwurst from milwaukee -- [cheers and applause] i'm also glad to be here because i get to see some great friends like your mayor, tom barrett, who's in the house. [cheers and applause] your outstanding senator, herb kohl! [cheers and applause] and your next united states senator, tammy baldwin! [cheers and applause] and just to prove that i am determined to bring everyone together in
ask americans barack obama or mitt romney, barack obama wins every time. why do you think that is? >> host: they get a pretty big debt between the two candidates. >> guest: i was shocked by the public opinion polls currently in the 11-point at a vigil for the foreign policy with barack obama and i can't see why. the only thing they talked about was killing them live in. >> host: that is what most people remember but i also think that obama has been actually on the same page in terms of the foreign policy leading from behind and americans are tired in terms of the foreign policy. that is and what a leader does decide. we have a crisis in the euro that could bring down the u.s. economy. we have a joblessness crisis. there are a lot of causes the president could pick the would resonate with the public and champion them instead of taking the obscure dates from the progress of wish list like the health care reform. >> host: we only have a few minutes left. tell us about your biggest conclusions and what you might do next. >> guest: well, you write a book to have a good question for a y
about mitt romney's background, what he did ack chapping of hair. welcome michelle obama was the director university of chicago medical center and she's been left alone about what she's accomplished in taking care of people with limited resources, limited incomes and that's extremely important, especially since health care is a huge issue at the present time. >> both sides. >> hi there, charles smith. let me try and frame my question. i mean, you are proposing a number of structural changes, which i hope would make a difference. just assuming for a second they did come in the question i have is in a democracy, essentially the median voter makes the difference. so changing any of these laws in terms of voting, in terms of primaries regardless, ultimately it's going to be changing the median voter. and there is a lot of evidence, like you say with your example of the commission on the defense, a nevada social finance says he simply living to two different universes. so it strikes me that change anything really fundamentally means we have to change attitudes. sabato says tha
romney, barack obama wins the contest every time. why do you think this? it's a pretty big gap between the candidates at this time. >> guest: i was shocked by the public opinion polls that barack obama and i can't see why because the democratic convention the achievement a tactic that is killing them lowden. >> host: that's the thing most people remember but i also think that obama has been on the front page in terms of foreign policy and retired in terms of the foreign policy that's not what the leader does. >> guest: leader needs to decide the crisis in the euro that can feel like they've done. we have a joblessness crisis right here the president could pick the would resonate with the public and championed them instead of taking obscure from the progressive wish list like health care reform. >> host: we have only a few minutes left. tell us about the biggest conclusions from the book and what you might do next. >> guest: you write in a book to answer a big question. you play detective for a year or so. you want to spend some time thinking about something else but it's a great surpri
Search Results 0 to 12 of about 13